New enrollment analysis based on federal data covering the first full year after Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard found that many of the nation’s most selective colleges saw declines in underrepresented minority enrollment from fall 2022 to fall 2024. Nearly 70% of the most selective institutions—those admitting fewer than 15% of applicants—reported declines in underrepresented minority first-year students. The analysis reports a 15% decline in underrepresented minority enrollment at highly selective colleges overall, with Black student enrollment down 26% at those institutions. The pattern contrasts with broader national changes, where underrepresented minority shares rose 11% and Black shares rose 8% across all institutions. For the higher-ed sector, the findings highlight divergence by institution selectivity and underscore how policy compliance can coincide with measurable shifts in campus demographic composition. The data also notes an increase in students choosing not to disclose race. Strategic admissions offices and student success teams may face new planning demands around pipeline partnerships, yield, and retention supports amid continuing demographic uncertainty.