New federal enrollment data through fall 2024 shows how the end of race-conscious admissions continues to reshuffle selective-college demographics. Analysis finds that nearly 70% of the most selective institutions saw declines in underrepresented minority enrollment from fall 2022 to fall 2024, even as overall figures across all institutions show increases in some underrepresented groups. The data also shows rising shares of students who do not disclose race and shifting first-year composition across institution types and states. For campuses, the continuing uncertainty is complicating enrollment forecasting, financial aid planning, and admissions strategy after Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard.
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